Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.487428 6.453979e-01 0.826531 1.046532 1.303491 1.591257 1.934981
2025-04-20 0.273210 4.605986e-01 0.708341 1.045514 1.478496 2.002804 2.672441
2025-04-27 0.152035 3.371481e-01 0.621173 1.050933 1.649115 2.419603 3.453987
2025-05-04 0.074119 2.331603e-01 0.522954 1.011692 1.745525 2.743727 4.141335
2025-05-11 0.031872 1.583928e-01 0.439244 0.967736 1.819166 3.034162 4.796647
2025-05-18 0.013761 1.168914e-01 0.395596 0.972973 1.958072 3.417047 5.590464
2025-05-25 0.003964 7.911182e-02 0.339668 0.940359 2.027996 3.699372 6.253872
2025-06-01 0.001392 6.550147e-02 0.333611 0.997684 2.246087 4.208180 7.253219
2025-06-08 0.000160 4.767703e-02 0.304818 1.001291 2.370081 4.577750 8.063556
2025-06-15 0.000013 4.224550e-02 0.311684 1.081149 2.631915 5.169100 9.213019
2025-06-22 NaN 3.461245e-02 0.305591 1.129686 2.839160 5.681369 10.259084
2025-06-29 NaN 2.635766e-02 0.290069 1.152099 2.998055 6.120991 11.207298
2025-07-06 NaN 1.639915e-02 0.255274 1.121079 3.057159 6.409007 11.948410
2025-07-13 NaN 1.122146e-02 0.238235 1.131979 3.197486 6.835153 12.911431
2025-07-20 NaN 7.463148e-03 0.223064 1.144028 3.339792 7.268649 13.895745
2025-07-27 NaN 3.659387e-03 0.193650 1.105674 3.374434 7.520468 14.604209
2025-08-03 NaN 1.410053e-03 0.165360 1.060600 3.388598 7.735099 15.257372
2025-08-10 NaN 6.412900e-04 0.153632 1.067045 3.513151 8.144049 16.224655
2025-08-17 NaN 1.261152e-04 0.132703 1.032744 3.543085 8.385852 16.929674
2025-08-24 NaN 7.334088e-05 0.136337 1.094064 3.794035 9.028071 18.288339
2025-08-31 NaN 6.817762e-06 0.126449 1.098034 3.912138 9.434267 19.273113
2025-09-07 NaN 5.367074e-06 0.135330 1.183090 4.224730 10.199415 20.850788
2025-09-14 NaN 4.973914e-07 0.136422 1.234724 4.460404 10.829468 22.217634